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Morning Comment

For the second time in recent months, stocks fell sharply based on fear related to remarks from President Trump. Weak earnings from key retailers added to the mix.

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Stocks fell yesterday led by the energy sector. For months it has been presumed that the best drillers in the U.S. could make good money even with the oil price averaging about $45 per barrel.

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Despite all the turmoil in Washington, the bull market continues to chug along. Higher earnings, low inflation and a weaker dollar offset the concerns out of Washington.

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One of the confusing aspects of this economic recovery has been the absence of inflation, particularly as the labor force approaches full employment. 

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Stocks dips slightly on Friday in quiet mid-summer trading. Last week, the White House undertook a big shakeup in its communications team bringing on long time Donald Trump friend and hedge fund veteran Anthony Scaramucci to replace Sean Spicer. 

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Stocks advanced yesterday after a series of strong earnings reports. While only a small fraction of companies have reported Q2 earnings so far, almost 75% have beaten expectations on both the top and bottom lines.

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Stocks closed out last week at record highs despite some disappointment with earnings of three of the largest U.S. banks.

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Stocks rose on Friday after a stronger than expected employment report. This week will be a relatively light one for data.

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Stocks fell about 1% yesterday against a backdrop of a somewhat weak prediction for today’s employment report and foreign policy concerns related to North Korea’s recent ICBM launch and the upcoming meeting today between President Trump and Vladimir Putin.

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Stocks generally rose on Monday in a holiday shortened session with light volume. Interest rates, especially at the long end of the curve, continued to creep higher. 

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